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Epidemiology and Psychiatric Sciences

Cambridge University Press (CUP)

Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Epidemiology and Psychiatric Sciences's content profile, based on 10 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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A living systematic review, meta-analysis, and open data resource of trials of MDMA-assisted therapy for PTSD

Sevchik, B. L.; Singleton, S. P.; Lahey, A.; Cuijpers, P.; Harrer, M.; Jones, M. T.; Nayak, S. M.; Strain, E. C.; Vandekar, S. N.; Yaden, D. B.; Dworkin, R. H.; Scott, J. C.; Satterthwaite, T. D.

2026-03-30 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.03.27.26349536 medRxiv
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3,4-methylenedioxymethamphetamine (MDMA) has emerged as a potential treatment for post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), generating considerable enthusiasm in the field. However, rapidly changing evidence in a fast-moving field can be challenging to integrate. Here, we present a living systematic review and open-data meta-analytic resource on MDMA treatment for PTSD. In this initial release, six randomized controlled trials comprising 286 participants are included in the database. Our primary model uses inverse-variance random-effects meta-analysis of standardized mean differences on primary outcomes of PTSD. Compared to control conditions, MDMA showed a greater reduction in PTSD symptoms (Hedges' g = -0.71). Meta-regression on both the number of dosing sessions and cumulative dose showed that a higher number of dosing sessions and a higher cumulative dose was related to larger effects of MDMA. Treatment with MDMA as compared to placebo also resulted in higher response (risk ratio (RR) = 1.35) and remission (RR = 2.25) rates. Most studies included in the database had a low risk of bias according to Cochrane guidelines, though these fail to capture pertinent challenges in the field such as expectancy, functional unblinding, potential issues with study conduct, and safety. The current findings were assigned an overall low certainty rating using the GRADE approach. Together, this systematic review and meta-analysis suggests that MDMA-assisted therapy results in short-term decreases in PTSD symptoms across studies to date, though more trials are needed. This living systematic review, meta-analysis, database, and online dashboard (sypres.io) will continue to be updated as evidence emerges, providing a valuable, open, and transparent resource for researchers in a rapidly evolving field.

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Comparative effectiveness of preferred pharmacological treatment options for bipolar disorder among people with opioid use disorder in British Columbia and Ontario, Canada: protocol for parallel population-based target trial emulations

Hossain, M. B.; Yan, R.; Morin, K. A.; Rotenberg, M.; Russolillo, A.; Solmi, M.; Lalva, T.; Marsh, D. C.; Nosyk, B.

2026-04-03 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.02.26350000 medRxiv
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Introduction People with bipolar disorder (BD) and concurrent opioid use disorder (OUD) experience more severe clinical outcomes, including higher mortality, treatment complexity, and worse psychiatric symptoms, yet they are underserved due to a lack of tailored clinical guidelines and limited supporting research on competing treatment options. While pharmacological treatments for BD are well-established, their use varies widely across settings, and their effectiveness in individuals with co-occurring OUD is unclear. We propose parallel population-based studies to emulate randomized controlled trials to assess the comparative effectiveness of pharmacological treatment options for BD among people with OUD in British Columbia and Ontario, Canada, 2010-2023. Methods and analysis We propose emulating a series of parallel target trials using linked population-level health administrative data for all individuals aged 18 years or older diagnosed with both BD and OUD and who initiated treatments for BD between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2023. All analyses will be conducted in parallel in British Columbia and Ontario. We propose a series of four successive target trial emulations, comparing (i) lithium versus non-antipsychotic mood stabilizers such as divalproex, lamotrigine, and valproic acid; (ii) lithium versus 2nd generation antipsychotics with mood stabilizing properties such as risperidone, olanzapine, aripiprazole, and quetiapine; (iii) lithium versus combination treatments such as lithium and divalproex, lithium and olanzapine, lithium and aripiprazole, lithium and quetiapine, divalproex and olanzapine, and olanzapine and quetiapine; (iv) lithium and valproate (LATVAL) versus lithium and olanzapine, lithium and aripiprazole, lithium and quetiapine, divalproex and olanzapine, and olanzapine and quetiapine. Incident user and prevalent new user analyses are planned for proposed target trials (i)-(iv), pending sufficient data. Stratified analyses will be conducted for BD-I, manic and depressive phases of BD illness. We propose an initiator analysis (intention-to-treat, conditional on medication dispensation) to determine the effectiveness of the treatments and per-protocol analyses to determine the efficacy of the treatments after dealing with treatment switching and recommended dose adjustment. The outcomes will include psychiatric acute-care visits (hospitalizations and emergency department visits), BD treatment discontinuation and all-cause mortality. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses, including cohort and study timeline restrictions, eligibility criteria modifications, and outcome reclassifications, are proposed to assess the robustness of our results. Executing analyses in parallel across settings using a co-developed protocol will allow us to evaluate the replicability of findings. Ethics and dissemination The protocol, cohort creation, and analysis plan have been classified and approved as a quality improvement initiative by the Providence Health Care Research Ethics Board and the Simon Fraser University Office of Research Ethics. Results will be disseminated to local advocacy groups, clinical groups and decision-makers, national and international clinical guideline developers, presented at international conferences, and published in peer-reviewed journals.

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Violence exposure and mental health problems among school-aged children in a South African birth cohort

Bailey, M.; Hammerton, G.; Fairchild, G.; Tsunga, L.; Hoffman, N.; Burd, T.; Shadwell, R.; Danese, A.; Armour, C.; Zar, H. J.; Stein, D. J.; Donald, K. A.; Halligan, S. L.

2026-04-22 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351289 medRxiv
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ObjectiveThere is little longitudinal research investigating links between violence exposure and mental disorders among children in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), despite high rates of violence. We examined cross-sectional and longitudinal violence-mental health associations among children in a large South African birth cohort, the Drakenstein Child Health Study, including direct clinical interviews capturing childrens mental disorders. MethodIn this birth cohort (N=974), we assessed lifetime violence exposure and four subtypes (witnessed community, community victimization, witnessed domestic, domestic victimization) at ages 4.5 and 8-years via caregiver reports. At 8-years, caregivers completed the Child Behaviour Checklist; and psychiatric disorders were assessed using the Mini-International Neuropsychiatric Interview for Children and Adolescents, a self-report measure. We tested for associations using linear/logistic regressions, adjusted for confounders. ResultsMost children (91%) had experienced violence by 8-years. Cross-sectionally, total violence exposure was associated with total (B =0.49 [95% CI 0.32, 0.66]), internalizing (0.32 [0.17, 0.47]), and externalizing problems (0.46 [0.31, 0.61]), and with increased odds of disorder at 8 years (aOR=1.09 [1.05, 1.13]). Longitudinally, total violence exposure up to 4.5-years was associated with total (B=0.27 [0.03, 0.52]), internalizing (0.24 [0.04. 0.44]), and externalizing scores (0.23 [0.008, 0.45]) at 8-years, but not with increased risk of psychiatric disorders. The strongest and most consistent associations were observed for domestic versus community violence subtypes. ConclusionOur strong cross-sectional but weaker longitudinal findings suggest that recent violence exposures may be more critical than early exposures for childrens mental health. Longitudinal exploration of other violence-affected LMIC populations is urgently needed.

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Understanding response to treatment in depression: Insights from the Pakistani DIVERGE study

Umar, M.; Hussain, F.; Khizar, B.; Khan, I.; Khan, F.; Cotic, M.; Chan, L.; Hussain, A.; Ali, M. N.; Gill, S. A.; Mustafa, A. B.; Dogar, I. A.; Nizami, A. T.; Haq, M. M. u.; Mufti, K.; Ansari, M. A.; Hussain, M. I.; Choudhary, S. T.; Maqsood, N.; Rasool, G.; Ali, H.; Ilyas, M.; Tariq, M.; Shafiq, S.; Khan, A. A.; Rashid, S.; Ahmad, H.; Bettani, K. U.; Khan, M. K.; Choudhary, A. R.; Mehdi, M.; Shakoor, A.; Mehmood, N.; Mufti, A. A.; Bhatia, M. R.; Ali, M.; Khan, M. A.; Alam, N.; Naqvi, S. Q.-i.-H.; Mughal, N.; Ilyas, N.; Channar, P.; Ijaz, P.; Din, A.; Agha, H.; Channa, S.; Ambreen, S.; Rehman,

2026-04-17 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.13.26350625 medRxiv
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BackgroundMajor depressive disorder (MDD), a leading cause of disability worldwide, exhibits substantial heterogeneity in treatment outcomes. Patients who do not respond to standard antidepressant therapy account for the majority of MDDs disease burden. Risk factors have been implicated in treatment response, including genes impacting on how antidepressants are metabolised. Yet, despite its clinical importance, risk factors for treatment-resistant depression (TRD) remain unexplored in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC). We used data from the DIVERGE study on MDD to investigate the risk factors of TRD in Pakistan. MethodsDIVERGE is a genetic epidemiological study that recruited adult MDD patients ([≥]18 years) between Sep 27,2021 to Jun 30, 2025, from psychiatric care facilities across Pakistan. Detailed phenotypic information was collected by trained interviewers and blood samples taken. Infinium Global Diversity Array with Enhanced PGx-8 from Illumina was used for genotyping followed by DRAGEN calling to infer metaboliser phenotypes for Cytochrome P450 (CYP) enzyme genes. We defined TRD as minimal to no improvement after [≥]12 weeks of adherent antidepressant therapy. We conducted multi-level logistic regression to test the association of demographic, clinical and pharmacogenetic variables with TRD. FindingsAmong 3,677 eligible patients, polypharmacy was rampant; 86% were prescribed another psychotropic drug along with an antidepressant. Psychological therapies were uncommon (6%) while 49% of patients had previously visited to a religious leader/faith healer in relation to their mental health problems. TRD was experienced by 34% (95%CI: 32-36%) patients. The TRD group was characterised by more psychotic symptoms and suicidal behaviour (OR=1.39, 95%CI=1.04-1.84, p=0.02; OR=1.03, 95%CI=1.01-1.05, p=0.005). Social support (OR=0.55, 95%CI=0.44-0.69, p=1.4x10-7) and parents being first cousins (OR=0.81, 95%CI=0.69-0.96, p=0.01) were associated with lower odds of TRD. In 1,085 patients with CYP enzyme data, poor (OR=1.85, 95%CI=1.11-3.07, p=0.01) and ultra-rapid (OR=3.11, 95%CI=1.59-6.12, p=0.0009) metabolizers for CYP2C19 had increased risk of TRD compared with normal metabolisers. InterpretationThere was an excessive use of polypharmacy in the treatment of depression while psychological therapies were uncommon highlighting the need for more evidence-based practice. This first large study of MDD from Pakistan uncovered the importance of culture-specific forms of social support in preventing TRD, highlighting opportunities for interventions in low-income settings. Pharmacogenetic markers can be leveraged to predict TRD.

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Predicting clozapine initiation among patients with schizophrenia via machine learning trained on electronic health record data

Perfalk, E.; Damgaard, J. G.; Danielsen, A. A.; Ostergaard, S. D.

2026-04-20 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351083 medRxiv
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Background and HypothesisClozapine is the only medication with proven efficacy for treatment-resistant schizophrenia, yet many patients experience delays of several years before initiation. Our aim was to develop and validate a dynamic prediction model for clozapine initiation among patients with schizophrenia trained solely on electronic health record (EHR) data from routine clinical practice. Study DesignEHR data from all adults ([≥] 18 years) with a schizophrenia (ICD10: F20) or schizoaffective disorder (ICD10: F25) diagnosis who had been in contact with the Psychiatric Services of the Central Denmark Region between 1 January 2013 and 1 June 2024 were retrieved. 179 structured predictors were engineered (covering, e.g.,diagnoses, medications, coercive measures) and 750 predictors derived from clinical notes. At every psychiatric hospital visit, we predicted if an incident clozapine prescription occured within the next 365 days. XGBoost and logistic regression models were trained on 85% of the data with 5-fold stratified cross-validation. Performance was evaluated on the remaining 15% of the data (held out) using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Study ResultsThe training/test set comprised of 194,234/35,527 hospital visits, distributed on 4928/878 unique patients. In the test set, the best XGBoost model achieved an AUROC of 0.81, sensitivity of 32%, positive predictive value of 23% at a 7.5% predicted positive rate. ConclusionsA dynamic prediction model based solely on EHR data predicts clozapine initiation with high discrimination. If implemented as a clinical decision support tool, this model may guide clinicians towards more timely initiation of clozapine treatment.

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Impact of AI-Powered Cognitive Behavioral Therapy Chatbot Access on Anxiety and Depressive Symptoms Among Primary Care Patients in Brazil: A Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity Design

Ferreira, C.; Lim, A.

2026-04-02 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.01.26349938 medRxiv
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Background: AI powered cognitive behavioral therapy CBT chatbots represent a scalable approach to addressing the global mental health treatment gap However causal evidence on their population level effectiveness in low and middle income countries LMICs remains limited and patient perspectives on acceptability and engagement are critical determinants of sustained use Brazils Estrategia de Saude da Familia ESF deployed an AI powered CBT chatbot Saude Mental Digital SMD to registered patients aged 18 and older at participating primary care units with eligibility determined by a composite vulnerability score exceeding a predetermined threshold Objective: To estimate the causal effect of AI powered CBT chatbot access on anxiety and depressive symptoms among primary care patients in Minas Gerais Brazil leveraging the eligibility score threshold as an exogenous source of variation Methods: We conducted a fuzzy regression discontinuity design fuzzy RDD study using linked administrative and clinical data from 312 ESF primary care units across Minas Gerais N 43287 patients January 2022 December 2024 The running variable was the composite vulnerability score with a threshold of 60 points determining chatbot eligibility The primary outcome was the 12 week change in the Patient Health Questionnaire Anxiety and Depression Scale PHQ ADS composite score Two stage least squares 2SLS estimation was used with local polynomial regression and triangular kernel weighting Bandwidth selection followed the Calonico Cattaneo Titiunik CCT optimal procedure Results: The fuzzy RDD estimated a local average treatment effect LATE of 473 points 95 CI 691 to 255 p 0001 on the PHQ ADS composite score at the eligibility threshold indicating clinically meaningful symptom reduction among compliers First stage estimates confirmed a strong 312 percentage point jump in chatbot uptake at the threshold F statistic 1274 Subgroup analyses revealed larger treatment effects among patients in rural municipalities 618 95 CI 902 to 334 those with lower educational attainment 582 95 CI 844 to 320 and women 537 95 CI 761 to 313 McCrary density tests confirmed no evidence of running variable manipulation p 067 Results were robust across alternative bandwidths polynomial orders and kernel specifications Conclusions: AI powered CBT chatbot access causally reduces anxiety and depressive symptoms among primary care patients near the eligibility threshold in Brazil with particularly pronounced benefits for rural less educated and female populations These findings provide quasi experimental evidence supporting the scalable deployment of AI powered CBT tools within public primary care systems in LMICs while underscoring the importance of incorporating patient perspectives on acceptability to maximize engagement and sustained therapeutic benefit

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Repeat Hospitalisation Following Admission for Mental Ill-health and Stress-Related Presentations in Children and Young People in England between 2014-2019: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Skirrow, C.; Bird, M.; Day, E.; Savoic, J.; deVocht, F.; Judge, A.; Moran, P.; Schofield, B.; Ward, I.

2026-04-03 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.01.26349988 medRxiv
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Background Hospital admissions for mental health (MH) and stress related presentations (SRP; symptoms without a clear medical cause which may be psychosomatic in nature) among children and young people (CYP) have risen over time. Rehospitalisation contributes to service costs, may indicate gaps in community based care, and can also disrupt education and social development. Methods This retrospective cohort study used NHS Hospital Episode Statistics to identify all CYP aged 10 to 25 with >1 MH/SRP related hospital admissions in England between 1 April 2014 and 31 March 2018, with follow up until 31 March 2019. Admissions were classified from ICD10 codes into internalising, externalising, personality, and eating disorders, psychosis, self-harm, substance use, postpartum, or potentially psychosomatic diagnostic groups. Outcomes included 30 day all cause readmission, 1 year all cause readmission, and 1 year MH/SRP-specific rehospitalisation. Time to rehospitalisation, and number of MH/SRP readmissions were also evaluated. Clinical and sociodemographic characteristics associated with rehospitalisation were assessed using regression models, time to rehospitalisation using Kaplan Meier analyses, and diagnostic transitions were visualised using Sankey diagrams. Results Of 492,061 CYP with hospital admission for MH/SRP, approximately one third were rehospitalised within one year. Females, older CYP and those from more deprived areas had higher odds of all cause readmission. The odds of MH/SRP rehospitalisation were highest among those aged 14 to 15 years. Co occurring chronic physical health conditions, personality and eating disorders were associated with higher odds, and shorter time, to readmission. Conclusions Rehospitalisation following MH/SRP admissions is common and socioeconomically patterned among CYP. Targeted discharge planning and continuity of care interventions are needed, particularly for high risk CYP admitted with eating and personality disorders.

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Global burden of stigma and discrimination against transgender and gender-diverse adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Barre-Quick, M.; Yeh, P. T.; Kennedy, C. E.; Azuma, H.; McLellan, C.; Cooney, E. E.

2026-04-23 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351490 medRxiv
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Abstract Importance Stigma and discrimination against transgender and gender-diverse people are prevalent across many settings and may contribute to substantial health disparities. Objective To synthesize global evidence on the prevalence of stigma, discrimination, and resilience among transgender (trans) and gender-diverse adults. Data Sources A systematic search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, CINAHL, Cochrane Central, LILACS, and PsycInfo for articles published between January 1, 2010 and January 2, 2023. This database search was supplemented by grey literature and secondary reference searches. Article Selection Studies were eligible if they presented primary quantitative data on prevalence of stigma, discrimination, and/or resilience among trans and gender-diverse adults (aged 18 and over), with no restrictions on study design, language, or geographic region. Data Extraction and Synthesis Two independent reviewers extracted data using standardized forms, with discrepancies resolved by consensus. The JBI Critical Appraisal Checklist for Prevalence Articles was used to assess risk of bias. Random effects meta-analysis was conducted for dichotomous prevalence measures using inverse variance weighting and logit transformation; non-dichotomous prevalence data were summarized descriptively. Main Outcomes and Measures Outcomes included prevalence estimates for various forms of stigma (anticipated, perceived, internalized, and experienced), discrimination in legal/institutional settings (housing, healthcare, employment, police/prison), and resilience. Results A total of 97 articles, with data from 72,158 unique trans and gender-diverse participants across 26 countries, met inclusion criteria. Studies showed moderate levels of anticipated stigma, perceived stigma, and internalized stigma. Meta-analyses of 36 studies provided pooled estimates of discrimination prevalence across multiple domains: 21.4% in housing (e.g., eviction, rental denial), 24.6% in healthcare (e.g., denial of care, mistreatment), 32.8% in employment (e.g., hiring bias, workplace harassment), and 39.1% in police/prison settings (e.g., profiling, mistreatment). High heterogeneity was observed across studies, reflecting regional and methodological differences. Resilience scores ranged from moderate to high, indicating variation within trans and gender-diverse communities. Conclusions and Relevance This systematic review and meta-analysis found that stigma and discrimination against trans and gender-diverse adults are pervasive globally. Variation in stigma and discrimination across settings and regions underscores the need for targeted interventions and policy reforms. Funding World Health Organization through a grant from the Elton John AIDS Foundation and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.

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Longitudinal Trajectories of Child and Youth Mental Health Symptoms Across Distinct Phases of the COVID-19 Pandemic: A population-based study in Ontario, Canada

Georgiades, K.; Chen, Y.-J.; Johnson, D.; Miller, R.; Wang, L.; Sim, A.; Nolan, E.; Dryburgh, N.; Edwards, J.; O'byrne, S.; Repchuck, R.; Cost, K. T.; Duncan, L.; Golberg, M.; Duku, E.; Szatmari, P.; Georgiades, S.; MacMillan, H. L.; Waddell, C.

2026-04-04 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.02.26350051 medRxiv
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Background Although an expansive body of evidence exists on children's mental health during the COVID-19 pandemic, it is largely restricted to the early phases and lockdowns. This study examines longitudinal changes in child and youth mental health symptoms across two years of the COVID-19 pandemic, with data collection strategically timed to capture variability in pandemic restrictions. Methods A population-based longitudinal study of 1,261 children and youth aged 4-17 years followed prospectively from January 2021 to December 2022, with five waves of data collected in Ontario, Canada. Latent growth curve modelling was used to estimate trajectories of parent-reported mental health symptoms and identify baseline and time-varying covariates associated with variable trajectories. Findings Mental health symptoms were elevated and stable during lockdowns, followed by significant reductions as pandemic restrictions loosened, particularly for oppositional defiant and inattention/hyperactivity symptoms compared to internalizing symptoms. Children without pre-existing clinician diagnosed physical, mental or neurodevelopmental conditions and those not in lockdown at baseline demonstrated relative increases in mental health symptoms during lockdowns; and girls, compared to boys, demonstrated smaller reductions in internalizing symptoms as restrictions loosened. Concurrent and lagged associations between parental distress and children's mental health symptoms varied across the pandemic. Interpretation Variation in symptom trajectories by mental health domain, gender, pandemic restrictions and pre-existing diagnosed conditions underscores the need for tailored, equity-informed pandemic planning and response. Policies designed to optimize the balance between the need to reduce viral community transmission whilst limiting pandemic lockdowns may mitigate adverse impacts on child and youth mental health. Funding Ontario Ministry of Health

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Association of sexual orientation outness and recent homophobic violence with not being on antiretroviral treatment: Analysis of a Latin American Survey in men who have sex with men living with HIV

ENCISO DURAND, J. C.; Silva-Santisteban, A. A.; Reyes-Diaz, M.; Huicho, L.; Caceres, C. F.; LAMIS-2018,

2026-04-23 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351515 medRxiv
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Objectives: In Latin America, up-to-date information to monitor UNAIDS 95-95-95 HIV targets in key populations, such as men who have sex with men, is limited. Elsewhere, structural homophobia restricts access to ART. Conceptual frameworks suggest that intersecting forms of violence and discrimination may negatively influence HIV care outcomes through psychosocial and structural pathways, although empirical evidence remains limited. The study aimed to assess whether sexual orientation outness and recent homophobic violence are associated with not being on ART among Latin American MSM living with HIV. Methods: This cross-sectional study is a secondary analysis of data from LAMIS-2018, including 7,609 MSM aged 18+ with an HIV diagnosis [≥]1 year prior from 18 Latin American countries. Participants self-reported ART status, sociodemographic characteristics, homophobic violence, and sexual orientation outness. Bivariate and multivariate logistic regressions identified those factors associated with not being on ART. Results: Nine percent of MSM with HIV were not on ART, 18% reported low sexual orientation outness, and 27% experienced homophobic violence, especially in Andean and Central American countries. Not being on ART was associated with recent homophobic violence (aPR=1.25), low outness (aPR=1.22), unemployment (aPR=1.27), and residence in the Andean subregion (aPR=1.87), Mexico (aPR=1.28), or the Southern Cone (aPR=1.45) versus Brazil. Protective factors included being older (25-39: aPR=0.72; >39: aPR=0.49), living in large cities (aPR=0.72), having a stable partner (aPR=0.78), and university education (aPR=0.74). Conclusions: Recent homophobic violence and low sexual orientation outness were associated with not being on ART among MSM in Latin America. While access varies across countries, structural factors such as stigma and violence may limit engagement in care. Addressing these barriers alongside strengthening health systems may be key to improving ART uptake and advancing progress toward the 95-95-95 targets.

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Closing the Survival Gap: Population-Level Impacts of Digitally-Coordinated Naloxone Distribution on Opioid-Involved Mortality in the Texas Gulf Coast

Goodman, M. L.; Maknojia, S.; Sciba, A.; Robertson, D.; Keiser, P.

2026-04-27 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.24.26351679 medRxiv
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Background: Opioid-related mortality in Texas has escalated dramatically, increasingly driven by illicitly manufactured fentanyl. To address local surges in mortality, the Galveston County Health District deployed the Galveston County Opioid Defense Effort (GCODE) in July 2023, leveraging digitally integrated surveillance data from emergency medical services (EMS) and the Medical Examiner to provide targeted naloxone distribution in identified overdose hot spots. Methods: Using a segmented interrupted time series (ITS) design and Poisson regression with robust standard errors, we evaluated the population-level impact of GCODE on opioid-involved mortality through the end of 2025. Data were sourced from the Galveston Area Ambulance Authority (GAAA) and vital statistics (ICD-10 codes). We assessed mortality trajectory changes, the observed fatality ratio among EMS-detected opioid events (the Survival Gap), and demographic and geographic covariates. Results: The Poisson ITS model included 519 weekly observations (N = 14,827 tract-weeks across 101 census tracts). Pre-intervention, opioid mortality increased by 0.16% weekly (IRR = 1.0016; 95% CI: 1.000-1.003; p = 0.011). Following GCODE deployment, the mortality trajectory reversed to a sustained 0.55% weekly decrease (IRR = 0.9945; 95% CI: 0.990-0.999; p = 0.021). The observed fatality ratio among EMS-detected events declined from 7.59% (preintervention mean; SD = 0.111) to 1.71% (post-intervention; SD = 0.042; Chi^2 = 19.824; p = 0.0001). Opioid decedents were significantly younger than the general mortality population (OR = 0.945 per year of age; p < 0.001), and were descriptively more likely to lack documented race/ethnicity data (41.23% vs. 8.27% Unknown; p < 0.001), limiting equity analysis. Conclusions: The findings are consistent with GCODE having meaningfully reduced opioid mortality by substantially lowering event-level lethality. These results suggest that targeted, digitally coordinated harm reduction can decouple overdose incidence from fatal outcomes, with implications for harm reduction program design in structurally constrained environments.

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Mystical Experience Induced by Esketamine Treatment: A Real-World Observational Study

Mallevays, M.; Fuet, L.; Danon, M.; Di Lodovico, L.; Jaffre, C.; Bouzeghoub, L.; Mrad, S.; Rousselet, A.-V.; Allary, L.; Muh, C.; Vissel, B.; De Maricourt, P.; Vinckier, F.; Gaillard, R.; Mekaoui, L.; Gorwood, P.; Petit, A.-C.; Berkovitch, L.

2026-04-01 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.03.31.26349757 medRxiv
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Esketamine is a fast-acting antidepressant drug which induces acute psychoactive effects. The most frequent is a dissociative state which seems unrelated to therapeutic efficacy. Other esketamine-induced effects, including psychedelic-like mystical experiences, have been poorly studied in terms of phenomenology and frequency, and may carry specific therapeutic relevance. In this study, we characterised esketamine-induced mystical experiences in relation with clinical outcomes. We conducted a longitudinal observational study and systematically measured acute subjective effects in patients receiving esketamine for treatment-resistant depression after each administration across the induction phase. A total of 45 patients were included, from two independent centres, totalling 352 esketamine administrations. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) supported the validity of the Mystical Experience Questionnaire (MEQ-30) for assessing esketamine-induced subjective effects, with components recovering dimensions previously validated with classic psychedelics. Mystical experiences (MEQ-30 score above 60) occurred in 58% of patients, with high inter- and intra-individual variability in frequency, intensity, and phenomenology across sessions. Higher mean and peak MEQ scores were associated with greater improvement in Montgomery-Asberg Depression Rating Scale scores from pre- to post-treatment, whereas the intensity of dissociative or other non-mystical effects was not. Positive mood and mystical MEQ dimensions in particular predicted therapeutic outcomes. Baseline spirituality also significantly predicted treatment outcomes and peak MEQ scores in the first week of treatment. These findings add to the growing body of evidence suggesting that psychedelic-like mystical experiences may be associated to therapeutic efficacy, not only in classic psychedelic-assisted therapy, but also in esketamine treatment.

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Semaglutide Initiation and Treatment Duration On Suicidality Risk in US Veterans With Type 2 Diabetes

Maldonado, A.; Heberer, K.; Lynch, J.; Cogill, S. B.; Nallamshetty, S.; Chen, Y.; Shih, M.-C.; Bress, A. P.; Lee, J.

2026-04-20 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351118 medRxiv
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ImportanceSemaglutide, a glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA), is a highly effective medication to treat type 2 diabetes and obesity. However, concerns about potential suicidality persist, creating clinical uncertainty about its neuropsychiatric safety. ObjectiveTo assess risks of suicidality after initiating semaglutide compared to initiating SGLT2i and by duration of continuous semaglutide treatment. DesignActive-comparator, new-user target trial emulation to estimate inverse probability-weighted marginal cause-specific hazard ratios (HRs). For duration-of-treatment analyses, we used clone-censor-weight methods to estimate exposure-adjusted effects. SettingVeterans Health Administration. ParticipantsU.S. Veterans with type 2 diabetes receiving care from March 1, 2018 to September 1, 2025. ExposureInitiation of semaglutide vs SGLT2i; duration of semaglutide use ([&le;]6, 7-12, >12 months). OutcomesIncident suicidal ideation; suicide attempt or death; and a composite outcome. ResultsA total of 102,361 Veterans met inclusion criteria, including 11,478 new initiators of semaglutide and 90,883 new initiators of an SGLT2i. After overlap weighting, baseline characteristics were well balanced between treatment groups (mean [SD] age, 60.1 [11.7] years; BMI, 37.8 [6.8] kg/m2; hemoglobin A1c, 7.0% [1.4]; 85.5% male; 61.9% non-Hispanic White). During a median follow-up of 2.2 years, 9077 incident suicidal ideation events and 696 suicide attempts or deaths occurred. The incidence rate of suicidal ideation was 56.3 and 37.7 per 1000 person-years among semaglutide initiators and SGLT2i initiators, respectively (hazard ratio [HR], 0.99; 95% CI, 0.93-1.06; P = 0.86). For suicide attempts or deaths, the incidence rates were 4.30 and 2.64 per 1000 person-years, respectively (HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.84-1.31; P = .86). In adherence-adjusted analyses, sustained semaglutide treatment for more than 12 months, compared with 6 or fewer months, was associated with a 74% lower risk of suicide attempts or deaths (HR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.14-0.54; P<.001). ConclusionAmong U.S. Veterans with type 2 diabetes, initiators of semaglutide were not observed to have an increased risk of suicidality compared with initiators of SGLT2i. Those with longer semaglutide treatment (beyond 12 months) had decreased risk of suicide attempt or death, suggesting longer term treatment is safe and may protect against for those outcomes.

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Feasibility and acceptability of contextually adapted AVATAR therapy for distressing voices in Ethiopia and India: a study protocol for the AVATAR3 study

Ward, T.; Alem, A.; Craig, T. K. J.; Sinha Deb, K.; Devi, S.; Fekadu, A.; Gumley, A.; Hanlon, C.; Kelly, R.; Manyazewal, T.; Misganaw, E.; Murcutt, I.; Oshodi, E.; Patil, V.; Sharan, P.; Tesfaye, Y.; Verma, R.; Ul-Haq, S.; Rus-Calafell, M.; Choudhary, R.; Getachew, M.; Hardy, A.; Wondiye, M.; Mihretu, A.; Sood, M.

2026-04-21 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.21.26348779 medRxiv
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IntroductionIn many Low- and Middle-Income countries (LMIC), access to psychological therapies for psychosis remains extremely limited, contributing to significant treatment gaps and persistent inequalities in care. Novel interventions that are effective, scalable, and culturally acceptable across diverse settings are urgently needed. AVATAR therapy is an innovative digital intervention for distressing voices in psychosis, developed in the UK. The therapy enables voice-hearers to engage in a series of facilitated dialogues with a customized computer-based representation of their main distressing voice. AVATAR3 represents the first initiative to contextually adapt AVATAR therapy and evaluate its acceptability in two LMIC settings (Ethiopia and India). Methods and analysisWe will establish Innovation and Implementation Hubs in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia (Centre for Innovative Drug Development and Therapeutic Trials for Africa (CDT-Africa) at Addis Ababa University (AAU) and Mental Health Service Users Association (MHSUA), Ethiopia) and New Delhi, India (All India Institute of Medical Sciences). Phase 1 employs formative work and diverse stakeholder engagement to inform context-specific adaptations. Reflexive thematic analysis will be used, with data synthesis informed by the Cultural Adaptation of Scalable Psychological Interventions (CASPI) framework and Ecological Validity Model (EVM). Phase 2 tests adapted AVATAR therapy through a parallel case series (n=15 per site, targeting 70% completion rate) measuring feasibility, acceptability, and safety indicators at baseline, 12-weeks, and 24-weeks. Qualitative research will explore the experiences of participants (n=10) and therapists (n=8) at each site. Ethics and disseminationEthical approval has been obtained from Addis Ababa University College of Health Science Institutional Review Board, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS) Institutional Review Board and the Kings College London (study sponsor) Research Ethics Committee. Findings will be disseminated to inform the implementation of AVATAR therapy across diverse international settings. Strengths and limitations of this studyO_LIInterdisciplinary and participatory approach C_LIO_LIContextual adaptation of a digital innovation C_LIO_LIExpert by experience leadership and involvement from the conception of the study C_LIO_LIThe study will develop tools and share learning to support future digital mental health innovation across diverse international settings C_LIO_LIThe case-series at each site will not have a control group C_LI

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Psychomotor retardation and risk of Parkinson's disease in unipolar depression: a retrospective cohort study

Morrin, H.; Badenoch, J. B.; Burchill, E.; Fayosse, A.; Singh-Manoux, A.; Shotbolt, P.; Zandi, M. S.; David, A. S.; Lewis, G.; Rogers, J. P.

2026-04-27 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.26.26351763 medRxiv
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Background: Depression is associated with an increased risk of subsequent Parkinson's disease. Neuroimaging studies suggest a neurobiological overlap in mechanisms underlying Parkinson's disease and psychomotor retardation in depression. Our aim was to investigate whether, among individuals with depression, the presence of psychomotor retardation was associated with the development of subsequent Parkinson's disease. Methods: In a retrospective cohort study, electronic healthcare records from individuals diagnosed with depression at age 40 or over in a large mental health service in London, UK were examined for the presence of psychomotor retardation. Linkage to general hospital records was used to ascertain diagnoses of Parkinson's disease between 2007 and 2023. Cox regression was used to compare the hazard of Parkinson's disease in individuals with depression with and without psychomotor retardation. Results: Among 6327 patients with depression, 2402 (38.0%) had psychomotor retardation. The adjusted hazard ratio for development of Parkinson's in those with psychomotor retardation was 1.43 (95% CI 1.02 - 2.01, p = 0.04). Secondary analyses demonstrated a significant difference in psychomotor retardation incidence at least 10 years before Parkinson's diagnosis. Conclusions: Psychomotor retardation in later-life depression is associated with increased risk of subsequent Parkinson's diagnosis over an extended period of time, suggesting that the relationship cannot solely be explained by misdiagnosis. Psychomotor retardation may therefore serve as a marker of prodromal Parkinson's disease.

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Interventions to improve retention in HIV care: a systematic review and network meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials

Rehman, N.; Guyatt, G.; JinJin, M.; Silva, L. K.; Gu, J.; Munir, M.; Sadagari, R.; Li, M.; Xie, D.; Rajkumar, S.; Lijiao, Y.; Najmabadi, E.; Dhanam, V.; Mertz, D.; Jones, A.

2026-04-20 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.04.18.26351146 medRxiv
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BackgroundSustained retention in care supports continuous access to antiretroviral therapy, routine clinical monitoring, and long-term viral suppression. ObjectiveTo compare the effectiveness of interventions for improving retention in care among people living with HIV (PLHIV). DesignSystematic review and network meta-analysis Data sourcesPubMed, Embase, CINAHL, PsycINFO, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library from 1995 to December 2024. Eligibility criteriaRandomised controlled trials (RCTs) evaluating interventions to improve retention in care, viral load suppression, or quality of life (QoL) among PLHIV, compared with standard of care (SoC) or other interventions. Data extraction and synthesisPairs of reviewers independently screened studies, extracted data, and assessed risk of bias using ROBUST-RCT. We conducted a fixed-effect frequentist network meta-analysis and rated interventions categories relative to SoC based on effect estimates effects and the certainty of evidence.. Dichotomous outcomes were summarized as odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), and continuous outcomes as mean differences (MDs) with 95% CI. ResultsEighty-four trials enrolling 107 137 PLHIV evaluated 13 intervention categories. For retention in care, five interventions supported by moderate or high certainty evidence proved superior to SoC: multi-month dispensing (OR 2.02, 95% CI 1.32 to 3.09), task shifting (OR 1.94, 95% CI 1.42 to 2.66), differentiated service delivery (OR 1.47, 95% CI 1.22 to 1.76), behavioural counselling (OR 1.36, 95% CI 1.21 to 1.54), and supportive interventions (OR 1.31, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.55). For viral load suppression, two interventions supported by moderate or high certainty evidence proved superior to SoC: task shifting (OR 2.07, 95% CI 1.25 to 3.43) and behavioural counselling (OR 1.34, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.67). Across outcomes, no intervention demonstrated convincing superiority over other active interventions. ConclusionsAmong 13 intervention categories, only a subset provided moderate or high-certainty evidence of superiority to the standard of care, and no superiority to other interventions. Persistent evidence gaps for key populations, diverse settings, and long-term outcomes support the need for context-sensitive and patient-centred interventions. RegistrationPROSPERO CRD42024589177 Strengths and limitations of this study[tpltrtarr] This systematic review followed Cochrane methods and was reported in accordance with PRISMA-NMA guidelines. [tpltrtarr]The network meta-analysis integrated direct and indirect evidence to compare multiple intervention categories within a single framework. [tpltrtarr]Risk of bias and certainty of evidence were assessed using ROBUST-RCT and the GRADE approach for network meta-analysis, respectively. [tpltrtarr]Some networks were sparse, and limited representation of key populations and long-term follow-up constrained the strength and generalisability of inferences.

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Clinical and Genetic Evaluation of Suicide Death with and without Interpersonal Trauma Exposure

Monson, E. T.; Shabalin, A. A.; Diblasi, E.; Staley, M. J.; Kaufman, E. A.; Docherty, A. R.; Bakian, A. V.; Coon, H.; Keeshin, B. R.

2026-04-16 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350901 medRxiv
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Importance: Suicide is a leading cause of death in the United States with risk strongly influenced by Interpersonal trauma, contributing to treatment resistance and clinical complexity. Objective: To assess clinical and genetic factors in individuals who died from suicide, with and without interpersonal trauma exposure. Design: Individuals who died from suicide with and without trauma were compared in a retrospective case-case design. Prevalence of 19 broad clinical categories was assessed between groups. Results directed selection of 42 clinical subcategories, and 40 polygenic scores (PGS) for further assessment. Multivariable logistic regression models, adjusted for critical covariates and multiple tests, were formulated. Models were also stratified by age group (<26yo and >=26yo), sex, and age/sex. Setting: A population-based evaluation of comorbidity and polygenic scoring in two suicide death subgroups. Participants: A total of 8 738 Utah Suicide Mortality Research Study individuals (23.9% female, average age = 42.6 yo) who died from suicide were evaluated, divided into trauma (N = 1 091) and non-trauma exposed (N = 7 647) individuals. A subset of unrelated European genotyped individuals was also assessed in PGS analyses (Trauma N = 491; Non-trauma N = 3 233). Exposures: Trauma is here defined as interpersonal trauma exposure, including abuse, assault, and neglect from International Classification of Disease coding. Main Outcomes and Measures: Prevalence of comorbid clinical sub/categories and PGS enrichment in trauma versus non-trauma exposed suicide deaths. Results: Overall, trauma-exposed individuals died from suicide earlier (mean age of 38.1 yo versus 43.3 yo; P <0.0001) and were disproportionately female (38% versus 21%, OR = 3.3, CI = 2.9-3.8). Prevalence of asphyxiation and overdose methods, prior suicidality, psychiatric diagnoses, and substance use (OR range = 1.3-3.7) were elevated in trauma exposed individuals who died from suicide. Genetic PGS were also elevated in trauma-exposed individuals who died from suicide for depression, bipolar disorder, cannabis use, PTSD, insomnia, and schizophrenia (OR range = 1.1-1.4) with ADHD and opioid use showing uniquely elevated PGS in trauma exposed males (OR range = 1.2-1.4). Conclusions and Relevance: Results demonstrated multiple convergent lines of age- and sex-specific evidence differentiating trauma-exposed from non-trauma exposed suicide death. Such findings suggest unique biological backgrounds and may refine identification and treatment of this high-risk group.

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Plasma Neurofilament Light Chain and Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein in Psychiatric Disorders: A Large-Scale Normative Modeling Study

Jacobsen, A. M.; Quednow, B. B.; Bavato, F.

2026-04-12 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350391 medRxiv
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ImportanceBlood neurofilament light chain (NfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) are entering clinical use in neurology as markers of neuroaxonal and astrocytic injury, but their utility in psychiatry is unclear. ObjectiveTo determine whether psychiatric diagnoses are associated with altered plasma NfL and GFAP levels. Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis population-based study examined plasma NfL and GFAP among 47,495 participants from the UK Biobank (54.0% female; 93.5% White; mean [SD] age 56.8 [8.2] years) who provided blood samples and sociodemographic and clinical data between 2006 and 2010. Normative modeling was applied to assess associations between 7 lifetime psychiatric diagnostic categories and deviations from expected NfL and GFAP levels, while accounting for neurological diagnoses, cardiometabolic burden, and substance use. Data were analyzed between July 2025 and March 2026. Main Outcomes and MeasuresDeviations in plasma NfL and GFAP levels from normative predictions. ResultsRelative to the reference population, plasma NfL levels were higher among individuals with bipolar disorder (d=0.20; 95% CI, 0.03-0.37; p=0.03), recurrent depressive disorder (d=0.23; 95% CI, 0.07-0.38; p=0.009), and depressive episodes (d=0.06; 95% CI, 0.02-0.10; p=0.01), lower among individuals with anxiety disorders (d=-0.07; 95% CI, -0.12 to -0.02; p=0.008), but did not differ in schizophrenia spectrum, stress-related, or other psychiatric disorders. Plasma GFAP levels were not elevated in any psychiatric disorders. Variability in NfL levels was greater among individuals with schizophrenia spectrum disorders (variance ratio [VR]=1.30; p=0.005), depressive episodes (VR=1.06; p=0.006), and anxiety disorders (VR=1.08; p=0.005). Variability in GFAP levels was increased only in anxiety disorders (VR=1.08; p=0.01). Plasma NfL levels exceeding percentile-based normative thresholds were more common among individuals with schizophrenia spectrum disorders, bipolar disorder, recurrent depressive disorder, and depressive episodes. Neurological diagnoses, cardiometabolic burden, and substance use were associated with plasma NfL and GFAP levels. Conclusions and RelevanceThis study provides population-level evidence of plasma NfL elevation in bipolar and depressive disorders and increased variability in schizophrenia spectrum, bipolar and depressive disorders, supporting its potential as a biomarker in psychiatry and informing its ongoing neurological applications. Plasma GFAP levels, in contrast, were largely unaltered across psychiatric disorders. Key PointsO_ST_ABSQuestionC_ST_ABSAre plasma neurofilament light chain (NfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) levels altered in psychiatric disorders? FindingsIn this cohort study including 47,495 individuals, normative modeling revealed that plasma NfL levels were elevated in bipolar and depressive disorders, whereas plasma GFAP levels were not elevated in any psychiatric disorder. Plasma NfL levels also showed higher variability in schizophrenia spectrum, bipolar, and depressive disorders. MeaningPlasma NfL shows distinct alterations in schizophrenia spectrum and affective disorders, supporting its further investigation as a biomarker in clinical psychiatry and highlighting the need to consider psychiatric comorbidity in neurological applications.

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Synthetic Cathinones: Bath Salts or Flakka Poisonings and Use in the United States 2021 to 2023

Ware, O. D.

2026-03-30 public and global health 10.64898/2026.03.27.26349556 medRxiv
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Synthetic cathinones, colloquially called bath salts or flakka, are a group of psychoactive substances used recreationally, including mephedrone and eutylone. Studies examining the prevalence of bath salt use among select samples in the United States have found that approximately 1% of nightclub attendees in New York, high school seniors, and college students have used them. The purpose of this study was to examine the national prevalence of lifetime and past-12-month use of bath salts among a nationally representative sample of persons in the United States from 2021 to 2023. This study also examined nationwide poison center data to identify the number of poisonings from 2021 to 2023 in which bath salt use was intentional and not necessarily an adulterant in another illicitly obtained recreational substance. This study identified the prevalence of lifetime bath salt use among a nationally representative sample of persons 12 years and older in the U.S. to be 0.2% (n = 670,611) in 2021, 0.3% (n = 838,941) in 2022, and 0.3% (n = 836,128) in 2023. The national prevalence of past-12-month bath salt use was 0.0% (n = 111,039) in 2021, 0.1% (n = 167,815) in 2022, and 0.1% (n = 152,276) in 2023. From 2021 to 2023, there were 148 cases in which bath salt use was intentional and involved in a reported poisoning to one of the 55 poison centers in the U.S. Future studies are needed to examine risk factors associated with bath salt-related poisonings.

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Evaluation of the effects of transcranial direct current stimulation on the effectiveness of cognitive function rehabilitation using the RehaCom system in patients with schizophrenia (study protocol)

Wysokinski, A.; Szczakowska, A.

2026-04-02 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.01.26349996 medRxiv
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Background Cognitive impairment is a core feature of schizophrenia and a major determinant of functional disability. Executive deficits affect approximately 85% of patients and are associated with reduced activity in the prefrontal cortex (hypofrontality). Current pharmacological treatments show limited efficacy in improving cognition, highlighting the need for alternative therapeutic approaches. Combining non-invasive brain stimulation with cognitive remediation may enhance neuroplasticity and improve cognitive outcomes. Methods This prospective, randomized, double-blind, sham-controlled, parallel-group superiority clinical trial. A total of 120 adults aged 18-65 years with clinically stable schizophrenia diagnosed according to DSM-5 criteria will be enrolled at a single clinical center. Participants will be randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive either active transcranial direct current stimulation (tDCS) targeting the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex followed by cognitive remediation therapy (CRT) using the RehaCom system, or sham stimulation followed by the same cognitive training. Assessments will be conducted at three time points: prior to the intervention (V1), immediately after the intervention (V2), and during the follow-up visit 8 weeks after the intervention (V3). The primary outcome is change in cognitive performance measured with the CANTAB battery. Secondary outcomes include symptom severity assessed with the PANSS, global clinical status (CGI-S), and neurophysiological changes measured by EEG. Written informed consent will be obtained from all participants, and the study has received ethics committee approval. Discussion This trial will evaluate whether tDCS administered prior to cognitive training enhances cognitive improvement compared with cognitive training alone. The findings may inform the development of more effective interventions targeting cognitive deficits in schizophrenia. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT07273175. Registered on 25 November 2025.